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CNN Analyst: Trump Has Real Shot At Winning National Majority

Charlie Kirk Staff

10/27/2024

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CNN Analyst: Trump Has Real Shot At Winning National Majority

The media is not giving Democrat presidential nominee, Vice President Kamala Harris the news she wants to hear.

CNN senior data analyst Harry Enten said that former President Donald Trump has a decent chance of capturing the popular vote.

“Donald Trump winning the popular vote could absolutely happen. You might as well wrap your minds around it now, folks, if you don’t like Donald Trump,” he warned.

“Trump may finally get his great white whale. Harris versus Trump national margin. You mentioned that New York Times poll, a tie. That’s actually right in the middle of the spectrum when we’re talking about recent polling data. You don’t have to look very far to find Donald Trump ahead nationally. He was up by two points in the CNBC poll, up by three in the Wall Street Journal poll. Very close races within the margin of error. But then the same thing on the other side, right? You have Harris up by three points according to Ipsos; the Say24 YouGov poll, a bunch of academics, also has Harris up by three,” the analyst said.

“But the bottom line is with the popular vote, which we really haven’t focused on, a very, very tight race. In fact, Donald Trump is very much in a position where he could win the popular vote, which of course is something he would absolutely love to do,” he said to host John Berman.

“So I went back through the time machine to see where the past two races were at this point in the campaign. Harris, in the average poll right now, is up by one, well within the margin of error. You go back four years ago, Joe Biden was well ahead of Donald Trump in the national popular vote polls. He was up by nine, and even Hillary Clinton was up by six points. Now Donald Trump is in a position he really hasn’t been before at this point in the campaign, where he could truly compete, and we can truly say that the popular vote at this point is way too close to call,” the data analyst said.

“Of course, this is only going back eight years. I wanted to jump even further back in my time machine, understanding, “Hey, I haven’t heard about a Republican potentially winning the popular vote in a while,” and it turns out a Republican winning the popular vote hasn’t happened since 2004, when George W. Bush defeated John Kerry. And that’s only one time it has happened. In fact, you have to go all the way back to 1988 to find another one when it was George H.W. Bush winning the popular vote over Michael Dukakis,” he said.

“So the fact that the polls right now are so close, the fact that Donald Trump has a legitimate shot of winning the popular vote, is something I think a lot of folks, including in my line of work, really didn’t think could possibly happen when Donald Trump was running last time around. He could make history, not just for Donald Trump, but for a Republican candidate as well,” he said.

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Charlie Kirk is the Founder and President of Turning Point USA, a national student movement dedicated to empowering young people to promote the principles of free markets and limited government.

Charlie is also the host of “The Charlie Kirk Show” podcast, which regularly ranks among the top-10 news shows on Apple podcast news charts, and is the host of the nationally syndicated daily radio show on the Salem Radio Network live from 12 - 3 PM ET.
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