CNN Analyst: Rising Support From Independent Voters Good For Trump
Charlie Kirk Staff
10/25/2024

CNN data analyst Harry Enten had some fantastic news for former President Donald Trump in the polls.
In new polling data he said the former president is gaining with independent voters as the election draws closer.
“Last time around, Joe Biden won these voters by 11 points. In September of 2024, a month ago, Kamala Harris was up five points among independents. Now, though, she’s only up by two points among a key block in the center of the electorate, down nine points from where Biden was at the end of the 2020 campaign. Of course, this is a national picture,” the data analyst said.
“What is going on in those key battleground states like Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, the Great Lakes, that “blue wall” right? Joe Biden won them by five points over Donald Trump last time around. But look at where we are today. This is the type of movement Donald Trump likes to see in the center of the electorate — up by a point. Of course, that’s well within any margin of error, but again, it’s the movement, it is the trends we’re looking at,” Enten continued.
“When you flip a group from being plus five Biden to now plus one Trump, that’s the type of movement Donald Trump loves to see, and it’s the type of movement that gives Democrats some agitation. You saw it nationally, and you see it in the blue wall states,” he added.
“Are independents determinative of who wins the election? Usually, the way independents go, so goes the nation. Candidates who won independents in elections since 1952 have often won the election—15 times, in fact—while only three have lost despite winning independents. So it is possible to lose independents and still win the election, but that’s rare. It happened with Nixon in 1968, Ford in 1976, and Kerry in 2004. Normally, when you win independents, it’s a very good sign for your chances of winning the election,” Enten noted further.
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