Former President Donald Trump has a significant advantage over President Joe Biden in a huge swing state that he will need if he’s going to retake the White House next year.
Trump has a 12-point lead over Biden in the vital state of Ohio, according to a new survey from Emerson College, 45-33 percent. In addition, Trump’s favorables are much higher than Biden, who is underwater with a -33 percent favorability rating. Gov. Mike DeWine (R) has a +6 favorability rating.
“Trump leads Biden by 12 points in Ohio, a larger lead than his 2020 and 2016 victories of about eight points,” Emerson College Professor Spencer Kimball noted. “Like in the U.S. Senate race, younger and minority voters are more likely to be undecided or voting for someone else — indicating lower enthusiasm for Democratic candidates both at the statewide and national level.”
When they were asked if something occurred over the next few months that may cause them to rethink the candidate they are currently supporting, about 55 percent of Trump backers said they wouldn’t vote for Biden while 49 percent of Biden voters said nothing would change their minds.
Kimball also talked about the survey’s findings regarding incumbent Sen. Sherrod Brown’s (D) reelection bid.
“With just over a year until the 2024 Ohio U.S. Senate election, many established Democratic demographics, like voters under 30 and Black voters, are demonstrating a lower level of enthusiasm toward Brown,” Kimball noted. “It is not that these voters are supporting the Republican candidate over Brown, they are choosing to select someone else or note they are undecided at this point. About a third of voters under 30 indicate they would vote for someone else or are undecided in a Brown/Dolan matchup; 38% of Black voters indicate the same.”
“An encouraging sign for Brown is that he leads Republicans by several points among independent voters,” Kimball added.
📊 OHIO 2024 POLL: Emerson (A-)
PRES:
(R) Trump 45%
(D) Biden 33%
——
SEN:
(R) Dolan 38%
(D) Brown 36%
~~
(R) LaRose 39%
(D) Brown 38%
~~
(D) Brown 35%
(R) Moreno 33%
——
Job Approval
Biden: 25/58 (-33)
DeWine: 34/28 (+6)
——
10/2-4 | 438 RV | MoE: ±4.5%https://t.co/LIdTB8463L pic.twitter.com/Fgvzh2gej8— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) October 10, 2023
Last week, a major new poll spelled more bad news for Biden while giving a huge new boost to his most likely 2024 opponent, Trump.
“A new Marquette Law School Poll national survey finds a close presidential race: former President Donald Trump receives 51% and President Joe Biden gets 48% among registered voters, while Biden has a 51% advantage over Trump’s 49% among likely voters—those who say they are certain they will vote in the presidential election,” the survey said.
However, where Trump excels is in other areas like voter enthusiasm.
