CNN Data Analyst Sees Tough Road For Harris To Beat Trump

CNN Data Analyst Sees Tough Road For Harris To Beat Trump


CNN’s senior data reporter Harry Enten cautioned on Tuesday about the challenge Vice President Kamala Harris may face in defeating former President Donald Trump in the upcoming election.

On Sunday, President Joe Biden decided to step down from the race for reelection, opting to support Harris as his successor on the Democratic Party’s nomination. During his campaign against Trump, Biden has faced continuous low support in polls. On “CNN News Central,” Enten noted that Harris faces a challenging fight against Trump, given his high popularity after the Republican National Convention and his survival of an assassination attempt. [see video below]

“For all of the excitement that Democrats have over Kamala Harris, it is going to be difficult to beat Donald Trump and I want to give you an understanding of why. Let’s take a look here just first at the favorable views of Donald Trump. We know that Donald Trump has historically been unpopular, but take a look now. After the Republican National Convention, in the ABC News/Ipsos poll, he recorded his highest-ever favorable rating at 40%. That’s not a one-off,” Enten told host Sara Sidner.

“Take a look at the Quinnipiac University poll, 46%. That’s the highest ever in that pollster. The fact is Donald Trump is more popular now than he ever has been before,” Enten continued. “So, yes, Democrats can make this switcharoo, but they’re still going to have to beat Donald Trump. A Donald Trump, who is stronger, Sara, than he has ever been before.”

Nate Silver, a prominent pollster, recently labeled Harris as “mediocre at best” and asserted that Trump would likely defeat her if she were to replace Biden, despite her mental fitness being compared to the president’s.

“Donald Trump is running five points better … than he was four years ago against Joe Biden. So at this particular point, whether you look at the favorable ratings, whether you look at the horse race polling, we see that Donald Trump is doing significantly better than he was doing four years ago at this point,” Enten said.

“Kamala Harris is going to have to do better than this, of course, if she wants to win the popular vote, but more than that, if she wants to win the Electoral College, which she’ll likely have to outperform how she’s done nationally because the fact is, if you’ve got a tie in the national popular vote, that is probably not good enough if you’re Kamala Harris and you want to win the election against Donald Trump,” he added.

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