A top pollster has warned Democrats that they are getting carried away with their confidence in Vice President Kamala Harris.
If you believe the media the momentum has drastically shifted towards the vice president in the campaign for president, but pollster Nate Silver said that the Democrats may be getting “carried away” when he spoke to former Fox News host Megyn Kelly on her Sirius XM show.
“The polls can be off. They were off in 2016 and 2020. In 2020, Biden had a big enough lead in the polls that he held on, but they were off by four or five points in states like Wisconsin,” he said.
Kelly said that Republicans are “starting to get very worried” about their chances of taking back the White House because former President Donald Trump “looked so much better” a month ago than he does now.
“Democrats may be getting a little carried away here,” countered Silver. “Kamala Harris is going to have her convention next week, and typically, that produces a further boost in the polling. So, I think August will remain a rough month for the GOP.”
“In September, she will face a different type of pressure. The pressure of being a perceived frontrunner potentially can be more difficult. Being an underdog is a powerful kind of constituent or powerful meme in American politics. It’s a sympathetic situation, and in some ways, it’s a great story,” Silver continued.
Some polls show the vice president with slim leads in Wisconsin and Michigan and the former president with slim leads in Pennsylvania, Georgia, Arizona and Nevada.
“When you’ve been watching the media, it’s been such a whiplash, right, of them eventually deciding Biden had to go. ‘Okay, we’re gonna do our shoe-leather reporting. Let’s get to the bottom of this. We’re suddenly interested in all of his fails and stumbles.’ And then as soon as she got anointed, it was like, ‘Not interested anymore!’” said Kelly.