Biden Losing More Support to Third-Party Candidates Than Trump In Michigan

Biden Losing More Support to Third-Party Candidates Than Trump In Michigan


President Joe Biden seems to be facing challenges in a significant battleground state due to the impact of third-party candidates in the race for the White House.

As per a Fox News poll of registered Michigan voters, in a rematch of their 2020 contest, former President Donald Trump leads with 47 percent compared to Biden’s 45 percent. However, Trump’s 2-point advantage does fall within the survey’s margin of error.

In 2016, Trump secured Michigan by a narrow margin of half a percentage point. However, in 2020, Biden clinched the state with a modest 3-point lead. Trump’s victory marked the first time a GOP candidate had won Michigan since Ronald Reagan’s decisive triumph in 1988.

“Biden’s best groups include those that traditionally go Democratic, including liberals, Black voters, suburban women, those voting on the abortion issue and voters with a college degree. He’s also ahead with those living in union households, voters ages 65 and over, and women,” Fox News added.

“While he still has a substantial lead among Black voters, Biden’s 68% share today is down significantly from the 93% he won in 2020, according to the Fox News voter analysis election survey. He’s also lagging his 2020 numbers among women, voters under age 45, men under 45 and independents,” the outlet continued.

Fox added that Biden won voters under 45 and independents in 2020, but both groups now favor Trump.

When the number of candidate choices expands to five, Trump has an even larger advantage – 5 points, or 42-37 percent, “with third-party candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. receiving 11%, Jill Stein 3% and Cornel West 2%,” Fox reported.

In that situation, Biden retains 77 percent of his 2020 voters compared to Trump retaining 87 percent of his 2020 voters.

“Third-party candidates are draining twice as much support from Biden as from Trump,” Democratic pollster Chris Anderson, who conducts Fox News surveys with Republican Daron Shaw, said in the poll analysis. “While many currently supporting third-party candidates will gravitate back to major party candidates by Election Day, a low level of third-party support could make a difference in a close election if the defections come disproportionately from Biden.”

“Even though Trump is the challenger and has had to negotiate a competitive primary, he has locked down almost all Republican partisans,” Shaw added. “The issue climate isn’t terrible for Biden here, but he has significant work to do to recover Democrats and traditionally Democratic constituencies. If he can’t improve his showing with African Americans and younger voters, he is heading toward a one-term presidency.”


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